Supercomputer predicts next month’s stock prices?

If you’re anything like most traders, then you know what it’s like to lose money. The journey from pathetic to profitable for me was chalk full of nonsense, idiocy, false gods, and outright fraud. Like many, I started watching the financial news with their money honeys and opinionated imbeciles. I would often say to myself: more »

WWII Trick for Hacking the Stock Market

In WWII, U.S. codebreakers easily and regularly cracked Japanese communications Their flaw The use of codebooks First they would write out their message, and then match words and common phrases to a codebook. Since certain words are used more than others, a simple frequency analysis allowed U.S. cryptographers to decipher messages with impunity But there more »

Should You Sell Stocks Now?

The talking heads are oozing out of the woodwork, telling you to sell stocks because they’re over-bought. After all, the S&P 500 is up 15% from election day in November they say. They say that tax cuts aren’t coming any time soon. They say that Trump is going to be blocked by his own party more »

State of the Market Address – March 2017

In this month’s State of the Market Address, you’ll discover: –   After today’s big move in stocks, will the market continue to move higher? –   Should you short stocks with bonds on a Smart Money buy signal? –   The parallels between now and 1995. –   The ‘Puzzle’ metaphor that destines most traders to mediocrity. Click here more »

Mother Of All Buy Signals?

I had a good chuckle the other night. I friend of mine told me he’s short the stock market. His reason? He thinks the stock market is too high. When prodded further, there was no indicator, no system, or news item for his bearishness. Turns out that it was just a hunch. A gut feeling. more »

The Power of Writing a $10 Million Check

Interesting story… In the early 90’s, a young, broke Jim Carrey drove his beat up old Toyota up to Mulholland drive. While sitting there, looking at the city of LA below him, he dreamed of a better future. To help manifest his dream, he pulled out his checkbook and wrote himself a check for $10 more »

“Why did you bet that the market would go up”?

A friend of mine at poker asked which way I thought the market was headed. “Up,” I replied. “Why,” he asked (which is the next question 99% of the time). “No idea the reason. The news tends to happen after the fact.” To a lot of people outside our group, predicting future price trends using more »

How to Avoid a Catastrophe Before it Strikes

I looked at the stock and it was trading under a dollar. Just like that, the bottom fell out, and the stock went from $11.05 to 80 cents. The company had announced that they lost their contract with their main source of revenue – Apple – and were going belly up. The company was GTAT. more »

“CERN: New Discovery Enables Super-Computers to Peer 11.2 Seconds Into the Future”

In a breakthrough study, scientists at CERN have discovered a way to pay for rising costs at the Large Hadron collider… …only it’s NOT looking into the future 11.2 seconds. While that would be nice idea for a new HFT fund, that’s not even remotely possible. What is possible (and verified in this paper) is that more »

Are you a victim of “subtle portfolio churning”?

Ed Seykota is best known for returning 250,000% over a 16-year period. Like many, he started out using fundamental information – and quickly lost money on his first copper trade suggested by his broker, and his second “can’t lose” trade on silver. Shortly thereafter, he discovered Richard Donchian in the 70’s. Richard was unique at more »

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