Put the armor where you DON’T see bullet holes

Put the armor where you DON’T see bullet holes Abraham Wald wasn’t an airman in World War II, but he sure saved thousands of them. He was a mathematician tasked with figuring out where to put extra armor so their bombers wouldn’t get knocked out of the sky by enemy fire. Clearly you couldn’t simply more »

[Part 5] You have to think anyway, so why not think big?

You have to think anyway, so why not think big? – Donald Trump Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Part 4 Over the past 60 years, computers have become a billion times faster. Computers are so fast, that they can now learn how to drive a car just by observing people drive cars. A team more »

[Part 4] Opportunity is missed by most people because it’s dressed in overalls and looks like work

“Opportunity is missed by most people because it’s dressed in overalls and looks like work,” – Thomas Edison.Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Testing 500 dual-core machinesMan, distributed computing is a debugging hog.Without getting too technical, we’re finding the main roadblock in Project 88 (our crazy effort to predict stock prices) is the delay it more »

Redrum! REDRUM!

This weekend marked the 40th anniversary of Stanley Kubrick/Steven King’s The Shining — and this message is ultimately about murder. More on that in a minute… We ended up “camping” in the Malibu area this Memorial weekend. I put “camping” in quotes because it was nothing like the camping I did as a kid. Back then, the more »

[Part 3] Manhattan Project of back testing

It’s week two documenting our overnight 17-year success (or failure) story of predicting future stock prices. Here are links to get you up to speed: Part 1 Part 2 In 1984, perhaps the greatest cinematic movie to grace the silver screen was launched – Revenge of the Nerds It’s about a group of socially awkward more »

[Part 2] The hidden language of the stock market

It’s week two documenting our overnight 17-year success (or failure) story of predicting future stock prices. Here’s a link to week one to get you up to speed: Part 1 Have you ever been in a room full of dissenters? You know…the people you bounce ideas off of, and they immediately tell you how it won’t more »

Supercomputer predicts next month’s stock prices?

If you’re anything like most traders, then you know what it’s like to lose money. The journey from pathetic to profitable for me was chalk full of nonsense, idiocy, false gods, and outright fraud. Like many, I started watching the financial news with their money honeys and opinionated imbeciles. I would often say to myself: more »

WWII Trick for Hacking the Stock Market

In WWII, U.S. codebreakers easily and regularly cracked Japanese communications Their flaw The use of codebooks First they would write out their message, and then match words and common phrases to a codebook. Since certain words are used more than others, a simple frequency analysis allowed U.S. cryptographers to decipher messages with impunity But there more »

Should You Sell Stocks Now?

The talking heads are oozing out of the woodwork, telling you to sell stocks because they’re over-bought. After all, the S&P 500 is up 15% from election day in November they say. They say that tax cuts aren’t coming any time soon. They say that Trump is going to be blocked by his own party more »

State of the Market Address – March 2017

In this month’s State of the Market Address, you’ll discover: –   After today’s big move in stocks, will the market continue to move higher? –   Should you short stocks with bonds on a Smart Money buy signal? –   The parallels between now and 1995. –   The ‘Puzzle’ metaphor that destines most traders to mediocrity. Click here more »

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