[Project 88 Part 11] Deadly assumptions

Deadly assumptions It was Monday October 19th, 1987. Stock markets start falling in Hong Kong, then Europe, then the United States. Suddenly the Dow went from down a few percentage points to down a whopping 22% in one day. There were at least two suicides in the following days. The news media blames a wide more »

97 years of stats says you should do this instead

97 years of stats says you should do this instead If you zoom out on a long-term chart of the Dow, you’ll see that the uptrend has been pervasive. Buy and hold in the U.S has worked out pretty well despite some serious drawdowns over the past 100 years. But what about in the short-term? more »

[Project 88 Part 10] How to Hammer Your Way to Success

How to Hammer Your Way to Success Everyone by now has heard this story in one form or another… It’s usually a former nuclear power plant engineer…or super-mechanic that fixes the engines on cruise ships. Here’s the setup: The nuclear plant (or submarine) is about to go into melt down. The mechanic is flown out, more »

Would you continue trading this strategy?

    Do you remember the first time you tried a strategy, and it didn’t work out? I made some trades using a service that would send trades using one of the first text pagers in the 90’s. It barely fit in my pocket. I promptly lost money of course since the strategy was BS. more »

How to Hear the Whistle Blow at Market Tops

Arguably, the most famous bucking bronco was the infamous Steamboat of Wyoming. He got the name “Steamboat” after he was hit in the nose by a ranch hand’s whip after he continuously failed at breaking the big black horse. The blow from the whip handle damaged the horse’s naval cavity so it would whistle like more »

[Project 88 Part 9] 139% AAPL gain?

[Project 88 Part 9] 139% AAPL gain? Howwwdy! I want to share with you some prediction results we’re seeing with Project 88 (You can catch up here with Part 1). The statistical significance is on the low side, but the results with AAPL show an annualized gain of 139% by holding on days that are predicted more »

[Project 88 Part 8] Why your favorite team blows massive leads

Here are links to the first 7 blog posts of our crazy idea to forecast stock prices with a 2000-core supercomputer at Microsoft’s secret datacenter: Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Part 4 Part 5 Part 6 Part 7 The reason your favorite team blows massive leads has been solved.According to a new study, the more »

[Project 88 Part 7] Forecasting Apple…

Here are links to the first 6 blog posts of our crazy idea to forecast stock prices with a 2000-core supercomputer at Microsoft’s secret datacenter: Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Part 4 Part 5 Part 6 If we were to try to predict the future of any stock with Project 88, it would be more »

[Project 88 Part 6] Urgent contest annoucement

Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Part 4 Part 5 A quick update on our stock forecasting tool…Project 88. Project 88’s goal is to forecast prices of every stock in the U.S. Like holding next month’s newspaper today. All 2000 cores of our supercomputer are firing in unison now, and test results are screaming in. more »

Stock market cannibalism

In 1846, 87 members of the Donner party set out on the 2500-mile journey from Illinois to sunny California. Only 47 made it there alive. Where did things go so horribly wrong? Turns out they used a “shortcut” listed in Lansford Hasting’s The Emigrant’s Guide to Oregon and California. Hasting’s guide was actually more of a more »

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